Propane faces support from crude market bullishness
October 30, 2017 By Mark Rachal and Dale Delay
Recently, propane prices have not gone beyond 78 to 80 percent of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude’s price.
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Recently, propane prices have not gone beyond 78 to 80 percent of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude’s price.
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WTI crude is an important metric because it gives propane retailers a way to evaluate the value of the product they sell. The comparison provides needed guidance when managing the price risks associated with propane supply.
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The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries projects demand for its crude will average 32.83 million barrels per day in 2018.
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Propane’s relative value to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the U.S. benchmark crude, continues to rise.
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Crude prices have been volatile throughout the August downtrend. They moved higher from mid-June through July, but dropped from $50.17 to below $47 in August.
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There has been a significant shift in propane’s fundamental condition over the last few years.
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Propane inventory has increased 10.774 million barrels since its first build for this year, which occurred during the week ending April 21.
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Last week, the Energy Information Administration reported U.S. propane inventory increased 3.446 million barrels.
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U.S. crude inventory is falling and that is helping fuel the recent uptrend in crude prices.
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Last year, only slightly more than 20 percent of U.S. propane came from the refining of crude oil.
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