Defining and analyzing speculative propane positions
June 19, 2017 By Mark Rachal and Dale Delay
A majority of traders are in the propane business in some way, shape or form.
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A majority of traders are in the propane business in some way, shape or form.
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Propane inventory has increased 10.774 million barrels since its first build for this year, which occurred during the week ending April 21.
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Last week, the Energy Information Administration reported U.S. propane inventory increased 3.446 million barrels.
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U.S. crude inventory is falling and that is helping fuel the recent uptrend in crude prices.
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Propane prices have been falling since mid-April as weakening export economics worry traders.
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Last year, only slightly more than 20 percent of U.S. propane came from the refining of crude oil.
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Nearly 80 percent of U.S. propane production came from natural gas processing last year. Natural gas production is the engine that drives natural gas supply.
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For the week ending March 31, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a 1.213-million-barrel draw in U.S. propane inventory.
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U.S. propane prices are hammered when propane inventory data doesn’t line up with industry expectations.
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In 2016, U.S. refineries only provided 20.67 percent of the total fuel-use propane supply of 1.461 million barrels per day (bpd).
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