Posts by Mark Rachal

Propane fundamentals supportive of prices Posted on 05 May 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Propane is trading at a record high relative value to WTI crude, which suggests traders see propane fundamentals as more supportive of its price. Read more»

Explaining the basis, catalyst of historic crude price drop Posted on 28 Apr 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog & COVID-19 categories.

As citizens sheltered in place, there was a dramatic shift in crude demand, leading to an extreme oversupply that has most available crude storage nearing capacity. Read more»

Propane rallies amid crude pricing struggles Posted on 23 Apr 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

The oversupply in crude is leading to reduced propane supply, which is causing the value of the two commodities to separate. Read more»

Trajectory of refinery throughput to impact propane production Posted on 14 Apr 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Under the current situation where crude is oversupplied on a global basis, U.S. propane supply fundamentals are becoming more price-supportive. Read more»

How the crude war could impact propane prices Posted on 09 Apr 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

While Saudi Arabia has called an emergency meeting of OPEC+, there is little doubt that U.S. production growth is very likely to slow in the future. Read more»

Retailers can use swaps to lock down future prices Posted on 31 Mar 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Retailers could take swap positions each month from now until winter that would allow them to have near the current price next winter. Read more»

US may become swing producer due to shifting crude prices Posted on 24 Mar 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

The price of crude has rebounded a little since, but the potential for it to go lower is still present due to demand destruction from COVID-19 and producers not cooperating to limit production. Read more»

Crude prices continue to fall due to COVID-19, failed negotiations Posted on 16 Mar 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog & COVID-19 categories.

On Monday, Feb. 9, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude’s price fell to an intraday low of $27.34 before closing at $31.13. It had closed the Friday before at $41.28, constituting... Read more»

Slowing production may impact pricing, inventory levels Posted on 10 Mar 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

In this week’s Trader’s Corner, we are going to take a closer look at U.S. propane production. Quite simply, too much production has been the reason that propane prices are under 40 cents at the hubs and near modern-day lows in relative value to WTI crude. Read more»

Monitor possible changes to bearish propane fundamentals Posted on 02 Mar 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

When prices are as low as they are now, it seems like a good time to consider buys, but propane fundamentals still don’t look very supportive. Read more»