Propane inventory build goes from bad to worse
September 7, 2021 By Mark Rachal
With the disappointing week 35 build in the books, U.S. propane inventory is 25.94 million barrels, or 27.2 percent, below this time last year.
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With the disappointing week 35 build in the books, U.S. propane inventory is 25.94 million barrels, or 27.2 percent, below this time last year.
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This week, Mark Rachal, director of research and publications, explains why a small shift in propane price strength is worth noting.
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Propane’s price may get to the point of curbing the demand from PDH units, but most analysts don’t think that is happening anytime soon.
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Propane inventory is declining, and the underlying data tells us why. Mark Rachal explains how supply impacts propane inventory levels.
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Mark Rachal, director of research and publications for Cost Management Solutions, addresses the fundamental drivers of propane inventory levels.
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Propane prices are mostly influenced by crude’s price, not natural gas’s price. But the vast majority of propane supply comes from natural gas processing.
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The relatively light build for the week ending July 9 marked the fifth week in a row of inventory building at a below-average pace.
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Propane production needs to stabilize or grow to change the pricing environment so propane prices fall again, says Mark Rachal of Cost Management Solutions.
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In a backwardated pricing environment, you may want to consider using financial swaps to lock the price of supply in future months, says Mark Rachal of CMS.
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Not only does EIA data show propane inventory near five-year lows, but prices at Mont Belvieu topped the $1-a-gallon mark for the first time since 2018.
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