Benchmarks and deciding when to ‘look before you leap’
August 3, 2020 By Mark Rachal
Over the last few Trader’s Corners, we have established some benchmarks for crude and propane. We have discussed…
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Over the last few Trader’s Corners, we have established some benchmarks for crude and propane. We have discussed…
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Crude demand is expected to decline 8 percent this year, increase 6 percent next year and fully recover in 2022.
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U.S. propane production has been on the rise over the past few weeks, putting a lid on propane…
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Producers voluntarily shut production during April, and the associated natural gas liquids loss dramatically impacted propane fundamentals.
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Mark Rachal looks at the relationship between propane and crude, and what to expect going forward based on that relationship.
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Inventory builds were late in starting this year, and now that they have, last week’s data showed they can be lighter than normal.
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Propane’s more supportive fundamental picture will keep it from falling to the extremely low values witnessed at the beginning of the year.
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Even before COVID-19 became a force in the market, Mark Rachal of Cost Management Solutions began to notice some erosion in the growth of propane supply.
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Propane is trading at a record high relative value to WTI crude, which suggests traders see propane fundamentals as more supportive of its price.
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In addition to crude’s collapse, Rachal discusses the propane pricing and supply environment. COVID-19 will have a greater impact on propane supply than it will on propane demand, he says.
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