Propane’s relative value to crude facing upward winter pressure
November 27, 2017 By Mark Rachal and Dale Delay
Propane prices often go through a bit of a slump between the middle of October and the Thanksgiving holiday.
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Propane prices often go through a bit of a slump between the middle of October and the Thanksgiving holiday.
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Relative to West Texas Intermediate’s crude price, Mont Belvieu is valued at 76 percent, while Conway is valued at 73 percent.
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Recently, propane prices have not gone beyond 78 to 80 percent of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude’s price.
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With winter approaching, the most recent data shows petrochemical companies shying away from propane as a feedstock.
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As winter approaches, the Midwest, like the rest of the nation, has propane inventory levels that are below the five-year average and well below last year’s.
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WTI crude is an important metric because it gives propane retailers a way to evaluate the value of the product they sell. The comparison provides needed guidance when managing the price risks associated with propane supply.
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Propane prices have been falling since mid-April as weakening export economics worry traders.
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The growth in propane supply has been extraordinary, especially from 2012 to 2015. However, the growth in supply has slowed dramatically.
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It’s difficult to pinpoint the cause of the two-day runup in prices that eventually turned into a sharp sell-off. Cost Management Solutions examines the change.
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Propane prices have recently been on a surge. However, those increases in price have been contained to the front month.
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