Bearish factors undermine propane’s value
April 10, 2018 By Mark Rachal and Dale Delay
Propane’s relative value to West Texas Intermediate crude is already slightly below the low end of the range we expected for this summer.
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Propane’s relative value to West Texas Intermediate crude is already slightly below the low end of the range we expected for this summer.
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As the impacts of winter demand wane this time of year, it is not unusual to see Conway prices move toward the weak side.
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Cost Management Solutions’ Mark Rachal takes a look at propane’s relative value to crude and how it is trending compared with last year.
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It is now the homestretch for winter, but forecasts for a cold February mean there is much work still to be done.
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Propane prices often go through a bit of a slump between the middle of October and the Thanksgiving holiday.
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Relative to West Texas Intermediate’s crude price, Mont Belvieu is valued at 76 percent, while Conway is valued at 73 percent.
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As the winter season approaches, the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts average household expenditures for all major home heating fuels will rise.
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As winter approaches, the Midwest, like the rest of the nation, has propane inventory levels that are below the five-year average and well below last year’s.
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A majority of traders are in the propane business in some way, shape or form.
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Propane inventory has increased 10.774 million barrels since its first build for this year, which occurred during the week ending April 21.
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