Propane price pushes past previous benchmarks
July 28, 2020 By Mark Rachal
As fate would have it, propane pushed above 50.2 percent of WTI crude and 48 cents over the past week.
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As fate would have it, propane pushed above 50.2 percent of WTI crude and 48 cents over the past week.
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Over the past five weeks, propane production has been down. Mark Rachal takes a look at the scoreboard for U.S. propane inventory levels compared to prices.
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Inventory builds were late in starting this year, and now that they have, last week’s data showed they can be lighter than normal.
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Propane is trading at a record high relative value to WTI crude, which suggests traders see propane fundamentals as more supportive of its price.
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The oversupply in crude is leading to reduced propane supply, which is causing the value of the two commodities to separate.
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Under the current situation where crude is oversupplied on a global basis, U.S. propane supply fundamentals are becoming more price-supportive.
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Retailers could take swap positions each month from now until winter that would allow them to have near the current price next winter.
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In recent editions of Trader’s Corner, we discussed the ultra-low price environment for propane, how propane fundamentals have driven prices lower and more.
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In this issue of Trader’s Corner, Cost Management Solutions takes a look at how and why propane prices rebounded from January 2016 through October 2018.
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As propane inventory rises, prices tend to fall, and as inventory falls, prices tend to rise. But we also noted some exceptions.
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