Propane rallies amid crude pricing struggles
April 23, 2020 By Mark Rachal
The oversupply in crude is leading to reduced propane supply, which is causing the value of the two commodities to separate.
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The oversupply in crude is leading to reduced propane supply, which is causing the value of the two commodities to separate.
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Under the current situation where crude is oversupplied on a global basis, U.S. propane supply fundamentals are becoming more price-supportive.
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Retailers could take swap positions each month from now until winter that would allow them to have near the current price next winter.
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In recent editions of Trader’s Corner, we discussed the ultra-low price environment for propane, how propane fundamentals have driven prices lower and more.
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In this issue of Trader’s Corner, Cost Management Solutions takes a look at how and why propane prices rebounded from January 2016 through October 2018.
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As propane inventory rises, prices tend to fall, and as inventory falls, prices tend to rise. But we also noted some exceptions.
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Propane inventory positions are a reflection of all underlying fundamental conditions, such as production, imports, exports and domestic demand.
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Most readers of this report know Cost Management Solutions is a company that provides support to retailers that want to hedge. Hedging is often misunderstood as to what it is supposed to accomplish.
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In this Trader’s Corner, we will focus on the changes in the price relationship between Mont Belvieu and Conway, Kansas, between last year and now.
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