Conway propane prices hold unusual premium over Mont Belvieu
August 17, 2021 By Mark Rachal
Propane’s price may get to the point of curbing the demand from PDH units, but most analysts don’t think that is happening anytime soon.
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Propane’s price may get to the point of curbing the demand from PDH units, but most analysts don’t think that is happening anytime soon.
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Propane inventory is declining, and the underlying data tells us why. Mark Rachal explains how supply impacts propane inventory levels.
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Mark Rachal, director of research and publications for Cost Management Solutions, addresses the fundamental drivers of propane inventory levels.
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Propane prices are mostly influenced by crude’s price, not natural gas’s price. But the vast majority of propane supply comes from natural gas processing.
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The relatively light build for the week ending July 9 marked the fifth week in a row of inventory building at a below-average pace.
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Propane production needs to stabilize or grow to change the pricing environment so propane prices fall again, says Mark Rachal of Cost Management Solutions.
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In a backwardated pricing environment, you may want to consider using financial swaps to lock the price of supply in future months, says Mark Rachal of CMS.
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For future reference, use this list of key points about financial swaps and how they can be used with pre-buys and spot buying to manage price risks.
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Mark Rachal of Cost Management Solutions explains how using financial swaps differs from doing a pre-buy to manage supply costs.
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A “stop loss” is a threshold that will trigger a position to close, thus limiting the loss on a position that is not performing as expected.
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