
Comparing imports, exports and propane’s relative value to crude
May 12, 2020 By Mark Rachal
Propane’s more supportive fundamental picture will keep it from falling to the extremely low values witnessed at the beginning of the year.
Read MorePropane’s more supportive fundamental picture will keep it from falling to the extremely low values witnessed at the beginning of the year.
Read MoreEven before COVID-19 became a force in the market, Mark Rachal of Cost Management Solutions began to notice some erosion in the growth of propane supply.
Read MorePropane is trading at a record high relative value to WTI crude, which suggests traders see propane fundamentals as more supportive of its price.
Read MoreIn addition to crude’s collapse, Rachal discusses the propane pricing and supply environment. COVID-19 will have a greater impact on propane supply than it will on propane demand, he says.
Read MoreThe oversupply in crude is leading to reduced propane supply, which is causing the value of the two commodities to separate.
Read MoreUnder the current situation where crude is oversupplied on a global basis, U.S. propane supply fundamentals are becoming more price-supportive.
Read MoreWhile Saudi Arabia has called an emergency meeting of OPEC+, there is little doubt that U.S. production growth is very likely to slow in the future.
Read MoreThe price of crude has rebounded a little since, but the potential for it to go lower is still present due to demand destruction from COVID-19 and producers not cooperating to limit production.
Read MoreNatural gas fundamentals are very important for propane retailers to monitor, since 80 percent of propane supply comes from natural gas processing.
Read MoreIn this Trader’s Corner, we will focus on the changes in the price relationship between Mont Belvieu and Conway, Kansas, between last year and now.
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