Examining Mont Belvieu, Conway price spread
February 22, 2022 By Mark Rachal
Mark Rachal, director of research and publications for Cost Management Solutions, examines why prices between Mont Belvieu and Conway are closing.
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Mark Rachal, director of research and publications for Cost Management Solutions, examines why prices between Mont Belvieu and Conway are closing.
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This week, Mark Rachal, director of research and publications, explains why a small shift in propane price strength is worth noting.
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Propane’s price may get to the point of curbing the demand from PDH units, but most analysts don’t think that is happening anytime soon.
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Despite high inventory levels at the propane trading hubs currently, we remain concerned about the potential for local market supply shortages during high winter demand periods.
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Cost Management Solutions saw prices move outside of the benchmarks for both crude and propane in the weeks after it shared its current short-term benchmarks with readers.
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As fate would have it, propane pushed above 50.2 percent of WTI crude and 48 cents over the past week.
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Over the past five weeks, propane production has been down. Mark Rachal takes a look at the scoreboard for U.S. propane inventory levels compared to prices.
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Inventory builds were late in starting this year, and now that they have, last week’s data showed they can be lighter than normal.
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The oversupply in crude is leading to reduced propane supply, which is causing the value of the two commodities to separate.
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Retailers could take swap positions each month from now until winter that would allow them to have near the current price next winter.
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