In the Know: State of the propane industry
December 29, 2022 By Marty Lerum
To round out 2022, Propane Resources’ Managing Partner Marty Lerum reviews the past 25 years and its impact on the propane industry.
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To round out 2022, Propane Resources’ Managing Partner Marty Lerum reviews the past 25 years and its impact on the propane industry.
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Our predictions were a little right and wrong. We saw the potential for lower prices, but we significantly underestimated the potential size of the drop.
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We are at the point of rejection occurring, but it has not been based on our premise that natural gas prices would rise faster than crude and propane’s price.
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The propane industry avoided what one leader called a “catastrophic” situation when Congress intervened to prevent a national rail union strike.
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With propane at such a low value, any change in propane’s fundamentals will allow prices to rise with crude, and prices could rise with crude regardless.
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Inventory is 9.7 percent above its five-year average. We have only seen inventory higher than this four times in the past 19 years, says Mark Rachal of CMS.
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This week, Mark Rachal, director of research and publications for Cost Management Solutions, explores the strong inventory builds recently.
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Mark Rachal, director of research and publications for Cost Management Solutions, addresses the fundamental drivers of propane inventory levels.
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As long as export demand remains strong, there is likely to be continued pressure on inventory and thus support for propane prices.
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Propane is trading at a record high relative value to WTI crude, which suggests traders see propane fundamentals as more supportive of its price.
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